Incidence Of PTSD After Terrorist
Attacks
By Terence T. Gorski
January 13, 2001
This article summarizes the emerging data about the
incidents of Critical Incident Stress Reactions (CISR), Post Traumatic
Stress Disorder (PTSD), and Grief Reactions following major terrorist
events. Although the information is preliminary, it does provide a
current "best guess" for estimating the psychological causalities
that could develop as a result of future terrorist attacks.
The World Trade Center Attack Of September 11th
At the end of October
2001, approximately seven weeks after the September 11th. terrorist
attack, the New York City Health Department, in conjunction with the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta, conducted a
door-to-door survey of people living in the vicinity of the World Trade
Center.
According to this
study, nearly 40 percent of those interviewed said they had symptoms of
post-traumatic stress disorder. The most common cluster of
symptoms reported were: emotional numbness, sleep loss, depression,
anxiety, feelings of intense guilt, irritability or outbursts of intense
anger. A third of those interviewed also felt they could benefit
from additional counseling. This is consistent with studies done
after the Oklahoma City Terrorist bombing.
Developing A System For "Best Guess" Projections
Although statistics
related to these types of of terrorist attacks is limited, the following
seems to be a general rule for the expected incidence of Critical
Incident Stress Reactions (CISR) and post Traumatic Stress Disorder
(PTSD) following the terror attack:
1.
Critical Incident Stress Reactions: The incidence of
Critical Incident Stress Reactions (CISR) will vary dependent upon the
intensity of personal involvement with the traumatic event. The
incidence of CISR is highest (about 90%) in people who both witness and
are at physical risk of death or injury during the event. The next
highest incidence rate, about 70%, is among people who are physically
present to witness the event but not in immediate risk. Those
viewing the terrorist incident on television will have the lowest
incidence of CISR, but this can be as high as 50%.
2.
Post Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD): Post Traumatic
Stress Disorder (PTSD) will develop in about 30% of the people who
develop a Critical incident Stress Reaction (CISR). A small number
of people will remain symptom free for a period of several weeks and
then develop a late onset of PTSD symptoms. The onset of delayed
symptoms is often related to returning to life activities that activities
memories of the trauma.
3.
Grief Reactions Related To Victim Deaths: It is estimated
that for each person killed in a terrorist act approximately 18 people
will experience a normal grief reaction as the result of the loss of
that person. These grief reactions will vary from moderate to
severe dependent upon the closeness and duration of the
relationship. About 5 of those 18 people can be expected to suffer
from serious and prolonged grief reaction requiring some for of
counseling or treatment. These grief reactions will often coexist
with Critical Incident Stress Reactions (CISR) and Post Traumatic Stress
Disorders (PTSD).
References
Associated
Press, Stress
Common Among WTC Neighbors, January 11, 2001
Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress,
Effects of Traumatic Stress,
A Web Publication of the Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement
of Military Medicine 1401 Rockville Pike, Suite 600
Rockville, Maryland 20842
Responding To Terrorism Victims
-
Oklahoma City and Beyond, http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/ovc/publications/infores/respterrorism/welcome.html
On the Net:
Post-traumatic stress: http://www.nimh.nih.gov/anxiety/ptsdmenu.cfm
New York City Health Department: http://www.ci.nyc.ny.us/html/doh/html/alerts/911.html